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Long Range Discussion October 5th by Simpson

Forecast updated 1:00pm EST - 5 October 2011

This forecast range is from October 8th - 11th. There is a pretty strong ridge over the majority of the eastern half of the country. This should cause the low pressure system to the west to slowly track up northward into Canada but early next week. With this system tracking northward central Indiana looks to stay fairly warm and dry for the next seven days. There is also a disturbance off the coast of Florida. There is some uncertainty with this system some models are bringing this storm up the coast, and could have potential to become a tropical storm, however some models have been bringing this storm into the gulf as well. This will be something to watch later in this week.

This first figure gives a pretty good over view of what is going to happen within the next couple of days. Basically, the big bubble of high pressure is going to sit over the eastern half of the United States and the low pictured will track northward. There is a slight chance of some upper level vorticity forming along the cold front creating a chance for severe storms.


The second figure shows the ridge of high pressure still over us at the end of the weekend and then the low pressure over Florida. This means that the warm and calm weather should remain through the weekend.

The second figure shows the ridge of high pressure still over us at the end of the weekend and then the low pressure over Florida.
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