Archive‎ > ‎EAS 434 - Spring 2011‎ > ‎verification‎ > ‎

VER_11JAN2011

Forecast verification updated 2:40pm EST - 11 Jan 2011

The 36h GFS forecast of 6-hr precipitation and MSLP valid this afternoon at 18 UTC 11 Jan that was generated at 12 UTC 11 JAN is shown at the top below. The main precipitation was forcasted to be located in north central Indiana with the low moving to ENE.  The second image below shows the composite radar image for 18 UTC 11 Jan.  This main core of heavy snow precipitation corresponds to the most positive vorticity advection shown in the third image below valid at the 18 UTC 11 Jan produced at 12 UTC 11 Jan.  The precipitation amounts seen in the forecast from the previous day correspond well to the observed track of the system.
 

today's forecast verification graphic was produced by Kevin Van Leer and Talon Atwell
















Comments