Forecast update @3:30PM 11/12/2013

Post date: Nov 12, 2013 8:56:16 PM

Not much has changed in the forecast.

Lake effect snow showers are winding down with a low stratus deck being observed currently over our area. A few flurries are still possible but as the sun heads out for the night, the clouds should dissipate during the evening and overnight hours providing clear conditions for the listening area.

Temps will moderate a little bit in to the 40's as this high pressure sinks to the south and starts kicking in a southwesterly flow. This increase temperature trend will continue into the weekend and will also be aided by the arrival of a storm system that will pass us to the north with temps in the 50's for both Saturday and Sunday..

The EC had this depicted for a bit and the GFS just came on board recently. Temps should get into the 50's. We could get a couple tenths of QPF as what appears to be one out of two waves ejecting out of a trough out west over the Colorado region. The first at this time appears to be a shortwave as it will be in its initial stages as it passes over northern Wisconsin.

The second and more impressive wave really starts digging its way towards the Northern Great Lakes and really bombs out almost with a 987mb at 12z Monday. This is showing a lot of moisture with a very strong cold front accompanying it. It appears that we will dip down into colder weather Tuesday and Wednesday as a high pressure pushes in with moderation again towards the end of the week. 10 day QPF for EC shows to be on the range around 1-1.2". This sure would be something to watch. It gets out wishcasting but it is something to look at.

Gino Recchia.