S & M
strong WAA but PVA comes a few hours later. Sounding does not support large snow ratio because of large evaporation layer from 400 mb to 650 mb.
next 6 hrs... not enough ice nucliation above -10 degrees C, therefore mostly freezing drizzle
GEMPAK WAA calulations
values at 2 e -4 for gempak. Calculated values: 3.5 e-4 which is larger than gempak was caluclating! 1.3 C/hr!!!